Stacey Abrams rides again, but Georgia should laugh back

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The No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs can move one step closer to the program’s first national title in more than 40 years when they take on the No. 3 Alabama Crimson Tide in the 2021 SEC Championship Game on Saturday at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta.

No. 1 Georgia and No. 3 Alabama, two of the biggest heavyweights in the sport of college football, are headed for a showdown inside Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Saturday afternoon in the SEC Championship Game. And, to no one’s surprise, there will be more than just the conference title on the line this weekend in Atlanta. The Bulldogs have cruised into the title game with an undefeated record, a stifling defense and a big play offense that has been able to stretch the field whenever it deems necessary.

The Crimson Tide struggled last week in a quadruple overtime win over rival Auburn, and haven’t been as crisp as they have been in year’s past. But coach Nick Saban knows how to win when it counts, and he’s led his team to the precipice of back-to-back SEC titles yet again.

Kickoff is 4 p.m. ET on CBS. The Bulldogs are 6.5-point favorites in the latest Georgia vs. Alabama odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 49. Before locking in any Alabama vs. Georgia picks or SEC Championship Game 2021 predictions, you need to see what the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Championship Week 2021 on a 42-28 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now the model has dialed in on Georgia vs. Alabama and just revealed its coveted picks and SEC Championship Game 2021 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of the model’s college football picks. Now, here are the college football odds and betting lines for Alabama vs. Georgia:

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What should you expect on Saturday afternoon? Let’s break down the matchup and make picks straight up and against the spread.

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Why Georgia can cover
Georgia’s defensive line looks to have a huge edge going against the Alabama offensive line. The Bulldogs defense averages 3.42 sacks per game, which ranks second in the SEC and fifth in the country. Georgia will go up against an uncharacteristically porous Crimson Tide offensive line that gives up 3.00 sacks per game, which ranks 12th in the SEC and 112th in the nation. Last week Alabama allowed seven sacks against Auburn.

In addition, freshman Brock Bowers has quickly established himself as a playmaker in the passing game. The 6-foot-4, 230-pound tight end from Napa, Calif., has a team-best 37 catches for 652 yards and 10 touchdowns. His TD catches are one shy of the school record held by Terrence Edwards in 2002.

Why Alabama can cover
Alabama has an explosive receiving threat in Jameson Williams. The transfer from Ohio State ranks second in the country in receiving touchdowns (13), seventh in yards per catch (20.67) and ninth in receiving yards (1,261). He also ranks second in the nation in kickoff return touchdowns (two). In the four games leading up to the Iron Bowl, when he was ejected for targeting, he averaged 157.8 receiving yards per game and 21.0 yards per catch and had seven touchdown receptions.

In addition, the Crimson Tide offense has done an excellent job on third downs this season. Alabama is converting on 53.9 percent of its third downs. That leads the conference and ranks second in the country.

How to make Georgia vs. Alabama picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 45 combined points. It also has an against-the-spread pick that cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations.

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